Move from reaction
to anticipation.
Identify challenges and opportunities sooner than your competitors.
Built from research
Scientific roots, strategic impact: academically developed and expert-validated.
From early signal to defensible decision.
Through explainable AI, a Geopolitical Instability Index, and a framework built by diplomatic experts with decades of experience, Deeplomacy classifies global news and reveals the connections shaping international relations.
Prediction
Discover the shift before it becomes a crisis.
Calibrated crisis-risk scores track every country against its own baseline and flag the ones behaving unusually, each with a confidence level and a model version on record. Set the forecast horizon to read the risk map weeks ahead, while there is still room to act.
- Calibrated risk per country, scored against its own history
- Early warning when a country breaks from its pattern
- Adjustable forecast horizon, every score with a confidence level
Inside Cortex
Anatomy of a recommendation.
Speed only matters if you can defend the answer. Every Cortex response returns ranked options scored by a deterministic utility function, the evidence for and against each, and an audit trail from question to citation. This is one decision, opened up.
Ranked options · deterministic utility
- 1
Reinforce and monitorRecommended
Keeps presence and exit optionality while indicators stay below the escalation band; commercial routes remain open.
risk low·cost medium·0.78
- 2
Partial drawdown
Reduces exposure faster but concedes local standing; justified only if protest indicators hold above baseline.
risk medium·cost medium·0.64
- 3
Full relocation
Eliminates exposure at the highest cost; the evidence does not yet support it within the decision window.
risk low·cost high·0.41
Signals consulted
- events
- 47 records
- ews
- 31 records
- forecasts
- 6 records
- diplomatic_trends
- 1 record
Doctrine cited
ISO 31000, risk assessment
Vienna Convention, Art. 22
IASC operational guidelines
- Confidence
- 0.78
- Decision window
- 30 days
Dissenting signal
Migration outflow estimates are unconfirmed; weigh them with caution.
Illustrative example. Every field above ships in the real response envelope.
Let's keep in touch
Need more information? Get in touch.
Whether you're a potential client, journalist, or investor, we'd love to hear from you. Reach out and let's explore how Deeplomacy can help you understand the world better.